Gold, a staple in a 'green' investment portfolio

In the face of the climate emergency, the economy is tending to decarbonise at a rapid pace. Against a backdrop of rising taxes on polluting industries, a study shows that increasing the share of gold in a diversified investment portfolio reduces its overall carbon footprint without affecting returns.

EU data confirm that Europe experienced its warmest summer ever in 2022 and that global temperatures over the past eight years have been the highest since records began. The pace of global warming urges a drastic reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. This is the only way to avoid the catastrophic consequences associated with climate change.

Given this reality, the process of decarbonising the economy is such an urgent priority that it is conditioning a large part of current political, business and investment decisions. In this regard, a report by the consultancy Urgentem concludes that the inclusion of gold in a diversified investment portfolio “can have a positive impact on portfolio performance from a climate transition perspective”, as it reduces the overall carbon footprint of the portfolio without impacting returns. 

More gold, fewer emissions

The study analysed how diversified investment portfolios with different asset mixes would have performed over five years to determine how the inclusion of gold impacts the risk-return profile and the overall carbon footprint. 

Their conclusion is that, for example, in a portfolio with 70% equities and 30% bonds, devoting 10% of that portfolio to gold would reduce emissions by 7% while increasing the percentage of gold to 20% would reduce emissions by 17%. Furthermore, there are clear indications that the inclusion of gold in the portfolio improves the risk-return profile.

Although none of the asset mixes analysed would achieve the zero emissions target by 2050, the ones that would come closest would be those that include a higher percentage dedicated to gold. In fact, the only ones that manage to reduce emissions are those that devote at least 20% of their investment to gold.

In terms of the contribution of investment portfolios to the projected global temperature rise up to 2100, gold would also play a very positive role in mitigating its climate impact. The study estimates that devoting half of the portfolio to gold would result in a 40% reduction (more than 1 °C) in the warming generated by that portfolio. A portfolio with 70% equities and 30% bonds would generate an increase of 2.96 °C, while a portfolio with 45% equities, 5% bonds and 50% gold would only increase it by 1.76 °C.

What if emissions’ taxes were raised?

One of the main policy tools to curb climate change and accelerate the transition to an emission-free economy is the taxation of greenhouse gas emissions. In this respect, analysis of carbon dioxide prices shows that a higher proportion of gold will help reduce the market risk for a portfolio. The more stringent emission reduction policies become, the more desirable it will be to increase the share of gold in the portfolio.

The authors of the study admit that the limited time frame (five years) of the data initially collected and the relative outperformance of gold over this period may have biased expectations of gold returns, but they caution that longer-term analysis also confirms the favourable effect of gold inclusion on the return profile of the portfolio, albeit to a lesser extent. 

Moreover, the report’s authors assume that an investor inherits a substantial proportion of the carbon footprint associated with gold mining and production. Their forward-looking analysis, therefore, allows them to assess how much portfolios would be affected by the potential decarbonisation of this precious metal.

If you want to discover the best option to protect your savings, enter Preciosos 11Onze. We will help you buy at the best price the safe-haven asset par excellence: physical gold.

While media attention swings with the price of gold and silver, another battle is being fought in silence. It does not appear in candlestick charts nor fuel crypto euphoria. It is decided in technical committees, in regulatory annexes, and in acronyms that seem innocuous.

There are no promises of explosive returns here. There are ratios. There is fine print. And there is a concept that may sound dull, but explains a great deal: the Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR). Because when regulation pulls the lever of bank funding, the market adapts — often faster than it seems.

When Basel is mentioned, many people picture the beautiful Swiss city with fond football memories for some. Yet the city of Basel does not exercise global executive power. That role belongs to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) — headquartered there — which designs prudential standards. In fact, the BIS develops recommendations that each jurisdiction later adapts — or nuances — according to its political and economic pace.

This is the first point often distorted in viral narratives: a global standard is not a worldwide decree that enters into force simultaneously. Financial regulation does not operate with switches, but rather with timelines, interpretations and national adaptations.

And it is precisely in this technical terrain, far from the noise, that a significant part of the future of “paper gold” is being decided.

NSFR: the rule that penalizes short-term funding

In the United States, when discussing the “Basel III Endgame,” the debate mainly focuses on capital and risk weightings for large institutions. But the timeline is not homogeneous, and regulatory development is subject to political tensions and pressure from the financial sector.

Regulation is not a switch turned on overnight. It is a mosaic of technical decisions, national adaptations and power balances. And within that mosaic, the key piece directly affecting the metals market is the Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR).

In plain language, the NSFR seeks to prevent banks from funding long-term or less liquid assets with volatile, short-term money. It is a lesson learned in 2008, when the problem was not only asset quality but funding fragility. And this is where gold enters the picture.

According to the World Gold Council, certain gold exposures on balance sheets may require 85% Required Stable Funding in the ratio calculation. In other words: maintaining certain gold positions requires stable funding — and stable funding has a cost.

This does not prohibit gold, but it changes its economics. If certain “paper metal” operations were previously efficient because funding was cheap, they may now be less attractive from a regulatory standpoint.

And here lies the real debate: allocated gold — identified bars with clear ownership — versus unallocated gold — a credit claim against an institution. The difference is not ideological, it is structural. When a rule such as the NSFR makes maturity transformation more expensive, the system tends to reward what is more transparent and less dependent on funding leverage. Regulation does not destroy a practice overnight, but it does modify incentives. And when incentives change, markets change.

The mirage of “Tier 1”

One of the most recurrent traps in this debate is the idea that “gold becomes Tier 1 like cash or Treasuries.” The phrase is striking but technically imprecise. Here, three boxes that are often deliberately mixed must be separated:

• Tier 1 regulatory capital (CET1 or AT1), which is a bank’s own capital.
• High Quality Liquid Assets (HQLA) used for calculating the LCR.
• Risk weightings that determine capital requirements.
  

They are not the same. That gold may receive a certain prudential treatment does not automatically make it top-tier bank capital. Therefore, when someone claims that “it is now like Treasuries,” the question is not whether you like gold, but: in which ratio, in which country, and under which legal text?

That said, there are real consequences. If holding certain positions becomes more expensive from a regulatory standpoint, the market adjusts behavior. There may be less banking interest in unallocated products, higher collateral requirements, fee revisions, or adjustments in clearing and metal lending services. This is not a conspiracy nor a sudden “slam of the door.” It is balance sheet management. Prudential regulation does not destroy markets, but it redistributes costs. And when costs change, behavior changes.

For savers, the debate ceases to be technical and becomes practical. If you have exposure to “gold” through a financial product, the essential question is simple: what exactly do you own? Allocated physical metal, or a claim against an institution?

The difference is not philosophical — it is legal. In an environment where certain structures may become more costly for banks, contractual conditions may change, prices may adjust, or certain lines may be reduced. It is not an apocalypse. It is adaptation. But it is also a lesson in financial literacy: what seems cheap and liquid “for no reason” often involves a risk we do not see.

Finally, grandiose comparisons should be avoided. 1971 represented a structural shift in the global monetary system. The NSFR is prudential regulation, but it is nowhere near the same level of rupture.

However, central banks strengthening gold reserves amid high debt levels and geopolitical tensions signals something clear: gold acts as a thermometer of the system, not as the trigger of a conspiracy. Regulation does not tell you what to buy, but it does signal which promises become more expensive to maintain. And in a world of complex products and inflated balance sheets, the true luxury is clarity: knowing what you own, how it is stored, and what legal risk you assume.

Controlling the asset, not the promise

If this debate serves any purpose, it is to remind us of an elementary principle too often forgotten: owning is not the same as holding an accounting entry. In an environment where regulation redefines costs and incentives, the difference between a real asset and a financial promise becomes central.

At 11Onze we have long insisted on this idea: transparency, traceability, and control over what truly belongs to you. Viral noise will fade, but ratios will continue shaping the system. Protecting savings is not about believing in myths, but about understanding financial plumbing and deciding with discernment.

If you want to discover the best option to protect your savings, enter Preciosos 11Onze. We will help you buy at the best price the safe-haven asset par excellence: physical gold.

El reconegut economista Robert Kiyosaki ha pronosticat “una crisi històrica”. Però, davant la incertesa, ell hi veu una oportunitat per a diversificar els estalvis. Què vol dir diversificar? Diversificar ens ajuda a invertir? L’agent 11Onze Xavier Esteve ens ho explica en quatre claus.

Kiyosaki, que és un inversor molt influent als Estats Units, i autor del bestseller ‘Padre rico, padre pobre’ (Debolsillo, 2016), afirma que la crisi que ve els pròxims mesos ens pot arrossegar a una “situació de col·lapse”, no només en el mercat de divises, sinó també en el de les criptomonedes i en el de metalls preciosos. Tanmateix, ell es mostra optimista: està convençut que tota crisi és una oportunitat per a qui ho sàpiga aprofitar. 

Alerta amb el deute, perquè pot provocar inflació

Segons l’agent 11Onze, Xavier Esteve, la crisi que ve té com a principal factor “el gran deute acumulat que hi ha al món, especialment als Estats Units”. Esteve explica que la relació entre el deute i el producte interior brut (PIB), és a dir, la capacitat de generar riquesa “no és, ara per ara, coherent”, o, en paraules de Kiyosaki, “no està sincronitzada”. De fet, Kiyosaki defensa una tesi alarmant: que el Departament del Tresor i la Reserva Federal dels Estats Units “estan inflant artificialment” el mercat de valors amb decisions “desconnectades” de l’economia real.

Esteve reconeix que inflar el mercat d’aquesta manera “no és gens bo”, i mira d’explicar-nos-ho: “S’està imprimint diner sense tenir en compte el que la gent gasta i, per tant, aquest diner se’l pot titllar de fals, en tant que no entra dins l’economia. En canvi, sí que té efectes en la pujada de preus, en una possible inflació transitòria els pròxims mesos”. Aquesta inflació transitòria, diu Esteve, pot enfonsar el castell de cartes que és el mercat i fer que els béns perdin el seu valor fins a cotes mai vistes. “La possible bancarrota de la immobiliària xinesa Evergrande també pot afectar a aquesta devaluació transitòria”, assevera. En aquest context, Esteve ens recorda que Kiyosaki adverteix que “els rics es faran més rics, però la classe mitjana i pobra cada vegada serà més pobra”. 

L’agent 11Onze també ens explica que les declaracions de Kiyosaki s’entenen pel fet que les preocupacions financeres dels EEUU pengen d’un fil de fa temps i, “sobretot ara, amb la inseguretat de l’economia real, i havent sortit de dos anys de pandèmia, que han afectat, entre d’altres, als ritmes de producció del petroli i gas”. Tot i que Esteve recorda que “l’economia no és una ciència exacta ni pot predir el futur”, sí que observa “símptomes preocupants”. “És preocupant, avui dia, la manca de determinades matèries primeres i l’alça de preus del gas, la llum o la benzina. El gran dubte és si la por i la manca de confiança s’apoderaran del mercat, o no”, assenyala.

Quan es desplomen els valors, toca invertir

Davant aquest possible escenari de crisi, com Kiyosaki, l’agent 11Onze es mostra optimista. Considera que les crisis, en tots els àmbits, són el pa de cada dia i “ofereixen moments de canvi”. “És llavors quan pots crear o cercar noves maneres per a millorar la teva situació financera”, afirma Esteve.

“No vull ser alarmista —segueix Esteve—. Kiyosaki ens diu que aquesta caiguda de preus ens donarà una oportunitat per a invertir en actius considerats de reserva de valor, com el bitcoin, l’or o la plata”. De fet, l’eminència de l’economia aconsella als petits inversors el que ell mateix farà quan els preus hagin caigut prou: “Soc optimista sobre l’or, la plata i el bitcoin, no sobre les accions. Quan es desplomin els seus valors, és quan jo en compraré”.

“No és bo posar tots els ous al mateix cistell”

En situacions de crisi econòmica, sobretot si es preveu transitòria com ho sembla aquesta, “preocupar-se no és la solució”, ens diu Esteve. La resposta demana mantenir la calma i “tenir una bona planificació que ens ajudi a superar qualsevol entrebanc financer”. “Fins i tot, si ho fem bé, aquesta planificació ens pot ajudar a millorar els nostres estalvis”, assegura.

Esteve s’anima a donar resposta als neguits del petit inversor amb dues dites, una d’elles molt catalana: “No és bo posar tots els ous al mateix cistell”. I la segona, atribuïda a Harold Macmillan, exprimer ministre del Regne Unit: “Hauríem de fer servir el passat com a trampolí, no com sofà”. “I tant que es pot diversificar. És una de les millors maneres d’invertir”, resumeix Xavier Esteve sense pensar-s’hi. Però, ben bé, què és això de diversificar?

Font imatge: Gage Skidmore

Distribuir els estalvis, arriscar petites quantitats

Diversificar vol dir distribuir els estalvis en diferents actius, sigui en moneda, metalls preciosos, productes d’inversió en borsa com els ETF, patrimoni immobiliari o criptomonedes, entre d’altres. Les noves tecnologies faciliten encara més aquesta diversificació. La nostra app El Canut oferirà pròximament aquesta possibilitat. I com que el valor d’aquests actius canvia en el mercat, diversificar et pot ajudar, no només a assegurar els teus estalvis, sinó també a invertir, tal com diu Esteve.

El nostre agent explica que, tot i que molts es pensen que la inversió és només per a professionals o persones que disposen de molt capital, “no és ben bé així”. “És evident que tothom té les seves dificultats i circumstàncies i, primer de tot, hem de tenir les necessitats vitals cobertes, sempre ho dic, però una de les virtuts d’11Onze és justament que, a través de La Plaça i de l’atenció 24 hores, intentem que els nostres clients disposin de tota la informació per a prendre les decisions encertades”, afirma Esteve, que recorda que 11Onze permetrà als clients invertir “amb quantitats petites, que no suposin un trasbals”. Com deia el divulgador científic Eduard Punset: “Quan l’ecosistema no existeix, s’ha d’inventar”. “Ens hem de moure amb la marea”, rebla Xavier Esteve.

Si vols descobrir la millor opció per protegir els teus estalvis, entra a Preciosos 11Onze. T’ajudarem a comprar al millor preu el valor refugi per excel·lència: l’or físic.

If you also celebrate Valentine’s Day, you must be looking for a unique and special gift that symbolises your love for the person you cherish. At 11Onze we suggest you give ‘Amor amb Or’ as a gift. A gift that will last forever and that retains its value over time. For Valentine’s Day, gift gold coins!

We all know that Valentine’s Day in Catalonia is Sant Jordi, but if you want to give something more than just a rose or a book to the person you love… maybe you want to jump on the bandwagon of romantic gifts for Valentine’s Day. So, if you’ve already ruled out cologne, chocolates, romantic food and other typical gifts… at 11Onze we have a proposal for you that is as classic as it is surprising: give gold.

Gold coins for the person you love

Gold has always had an air of mystery and magic, a timeless gift with a special symbolic meaning that represents love and prosperity. Celebrate special moments with ‘Amor amb Or’. Surprise your loved one with a unique and precious gift that will remind him/her of your love forever.

‘Amor amb Or’ is the perfect gift for those special moments you want to celebrate with the people you love. Whether for a birthday or Valentine’s Day, giving gold coins as a gift will be an unforgettable detail that symbolises love and will maintain its value over time. If you want to give a unique and special gift, give ‘Amor amb Or’.

Preciosos 11Onze offers the option to buy gold coins from €220. For 11Onze members with an El Canut account, shipping is free. For all other buyers, it costs €9.99. If you want to buy gold coins as a gift, fill in this form and an agent will contact you. You will receive a personalized digital postcard with the name of the person to whom you give the gift. It will also need a physical address to send, shortly after, the gold coins.

If you want to discover the best option to protect your savings, enter Preciosos 11Onze. We will help you buy at the best price the safe-haven asset par excellence: physical gold.

Yesterday Monday’s correction in the price of gold has generated concern among some savers. But not every decline is a warning signal. Often, it is simply a pause within a much more solid underlying trend.

The first thing that must be clarified is that we are not facing a paradigm shift. The fall in the price of gold is framed as a specific technical correction, after weeks —and months— of strong revaluations. When an asset accumulates significant gains, it is common for part of the market to take profits. Therefore, it does not weaken the asset, but rather normalizes it.

Gold does not behave like a speculative stock or a highly volatile cryptocurrency. Its behaviour responds to slow, deep and, above all, global macroeconomic forces.

First factor: the dollar and interest rates

One of the main drivers behind the decline has been the rebound of the dollar and the movement of real interest rates.

When the dollar strengthens, gold —which is priced in this currency— becomes relatively more expensive for international buyers. This reduces short-term demand and puts downward pressure on the price.

In addition, any expectation of higher interest rates for longer works against gold in the short term. Not because gold loses intrinsic value, but because it does not offer financial yield. It competes with bonds and deposits, and when these promise higher immediate returns, part of the capital temporarily shifts.

Second factor: less fear… for now

Gold is, by definition, a thermometer of systemic fear. In recent days, markets have priced in a slightly more optimistic scenario: less negative macroeconomic data, lower immediate tension in financial markets and a sense —perhaps excessive— of control by central banks.

When fear subsides, gold takes a breath. But that does not mean that risks have disappeared; it means that the market, often myopic, looks only at the short term.

Third factor: short-term speculative movements

A significant part of the price of gold moves in futures and derivatives markets. Here, funds and operators intervene who do not buy gold to protect wealth, but to speculate on price. When these actors detect technical resistance levels or changes in sentiment, they execute rapid sell-offs that amplify movements. Therefore, we are dealing with noise rather than fundamentals.

In fact, according to data from the World Gold Council, structural demand for physical gold —especially from central banks and long-term wealth investors— remains solid.

What has not changed

Nothing that underpins gold as a safe-haven asset has changed, not even minimally. Global debt continues to grow at a faster pace than the real economy, with states and governments trapped in a permanent refinancing dynamic that is only viable through further monetary issuance.

Fiat currencies, detached from any real asset for decades, continue to lose purchasing power structurally —a slow but constant process that erodes savings quietly. Added to this is a fragmented geopolitical landscape, with open conflicts, increasingly closed economic blocs and growing distrust among major powers. It is no coincidence that, in this context, central banks —the very institutions that print money— are accumulating gold as they have not done for decades. When those who issue money seek refuge in a tangible asset, the message is clear.

For this reason, a temporary drop in the price of gold does not invalidate in any way the structural trend that supports it. On the contrary, it is part of its natural behaviour within market cycles. Historically, gold does not rise in a straight line, but advances with pauses, corrections, and necessary breathing phases after sustained upward moves. These corrections are not signs of weakness, but market-cleansing mechanisms, often caused by short-term speculative movements or temporary changes in sentiment.

Viewed with perspective, they have repeatedly been moments of opportunity for patient savers, not threats to the asset’s underlying value. Gold is not designed to reassure us every day, but to protect us when the system falters. And that remains fully valid today.

Gold is not an asset to watch every day, nor to judge by headlines. It is an asset designed to protect value over time, precisely because it does not depend on immediate market noise. Those who understand this are not unsettled by a temporary decline; they place it within a broader cycle. At 11Onze we speak of conscious saving, informed decisions and the ability to look beyond short-term fluctuations. Understanding gold not as a bet, but as a form of wealth insurance, is key to preserving the value of savings in an increasingly uncertain world.

If you want to discover the best option to protect your savings, enter Preciosos 11Onze. We will help you buy at the best price the safe-haven asset par excellence: physical gold.

A PISA report confirms that our country is in tenth position out of the 15 OECD countries analysed, according to Price Water House (PwC), on financial knowledge of children between 13 and 15 years of age. In other words, Spain devotes far fewer hours to financial content at school than other countries, despite having the longest school day.

Financial education could be defined as a person’s ability to understand how the economy works and to make decisions based on that understanding. This type of information allows us to develop skills that will ultimately translate into greater economic well-being and, therefore, be better prepared for times of economic crisis such as those we are currently experiencing. 

If we educate children from an early age in the concept of saving, in the good use of money, they will be better prepared for future crises that may occur. Responsible use and economic planning is essential for future generations. An example of this is the Inspiring Girls Foundation, which has launched the Inspiring Girls Financial Club with the aim of helping teenagers and young people learn to manage their own finances and learn about new trends and the financial market in a simple way. They are supported and have the experience of real women who work in prestigious companies.

Literature can also help us

BAPI, is a book written by Pilar Mellado, a CNMV technician, integrated in the Financial Education volunteers program, and its objective is to bring financial education to children. The author had the idea of creating this book to disseminate concepts through the main character, BAPI, an imaginary elephant that stars in a children’s book for children to learn basic financial concepts, such as “piggy bank”, “bank”, “spending”, “saving” or “debt” in a fun way. 

Mellado states that “it is important that children are immersed in stories that transport them to a universe of superheroes, princes and princesses, fantastic animals or objects that come to life”. These stories, in addition to being entertaining for them, can be accompanied by what he called educational pills, and that is BAPI’s objective, to entertain by handing out financial pills. 

The impact of social networks on consumption

It is true that nowadays, it is difficult to do this exercise, we live in a consumerist society, where everything is shown. Social networks do not help children to become aware of what it costs to earn money, let alone save. 

In this social network, many influencers sponsored by big brands show an endless number of products and services. This is where the knowledge of the older generations is important, explaining that not everything we see and want can be bought. 

If we want the little ones to be educated people, with values and success, we have to inculcate the sacrifice that comes with saving with the effort to get the things they want. 

One of the first steps we can take is to give them a piggy bank from an early age. From that moment on, on their next birthday or special date, if they receive any economic gift, they will have to deposit it in their piggy bank. It is important to explain to them that with the money they have been saving for X amount of time, they could buy what they want, but if they spend it all, they will end up with zero money.

Later on, you can also propose activities to earn money. Create a calendar with weekly goals for household chores. Make them simple, but require the investment of a minimum of time and effort, and if they do everything that has been proposed, they can get money. With this method they will know what it costs to earn money through sacrifice. 

Financial education comes from home, if we start with these practices and we get schools to talk more and more about personal finance and put it into practice, we will be creating new habits for the new generations that will make their lives easier and more bearable, and we will also get them to appreciate things more when they buy them with the fruit of their effort and tenacity. 

If you want to wash your clothes without polluting the planet, 11Onze Recommends Natulim.

This 2025 has been a year that will go down in history for the true explosion of gold. Beyond occasional spikes, the yellow metal has reaffirmed its role as a safe haven, a diversification asset, and a sign of distrust toward conventional assets. Now, with the 2026 horizon ahead, it is worth asking: is this only a temporary surge or the prelude to a new cycle? And above all, what will it mean for savers and investors like you?

For almost a decade, gold lived in a kind of exile. Modest returns, institutional disinterest, and a dominant narrative proclaiming that technological assets —and even cryptocurrencies— were “the future.” In this context, the yellow metal seemed like a relic useful only at specific moments of turbulence.

But 2025 has completely turned this script upside down. The price of gold has not only climbed; it has done so by breaking psychological and structural levels it had not breached for years. Financial demand has regained unexpected vigour: in the United States alone, gold ETFs recorded a 58% year-on-year increase in the third quarter, according to World Gold Council data. It is a move that had not been seen in a long time and reveals a profound shift in investor sentiment.

This reappearance is not accidental. It responds to a cocktail of factors that, combined, create the kind of scenario that has historically fueled gold bull markets:

• Geopolitical uncertainty. Conflicts in Europe, rising tension in the Middle East, and a reconfiguration of global power among blocs. When political maps tremble, capital seeks refuge.
• Inflation that does not give way. Despite the slowdown from the 2023 peak, inflation remains above central bank targets. The loss of purchasing power becomes a real threat… and gold returns as the traditional shield against this phenomenon.
• Structural doubts about the dollar. U.S. fiscal policy, runaway debt, and de-dollarization moves led by emerging countries put pressure on the hegemonic currency. When the dollar hesitates, gold advances.
  

Taken together, these factors have made gold, far from being “out of place,” regain center stage in the financial arena, reaffirming its key function as an asset for preserving value.

The new driving force

If in the past retail investors were the ones who set gold’s bull cycles, 2025 has made a deeper change evident: demand has come from the system’s major players. And when central banks move, the market listens.

Over recent years, these institutions have been strengthening their gold reserves as part of a strategy of gradual de-dollarization and risk diversification. According to the World Gold Council, this trend will not only continue but will accelerate, and there is no indication that it should slow. Emerging countries —led by China, India, and Turkey— are at the center of the movement, but even some European central banks, have resumed purchases after decades of inactivity.

Added to this institutional demand is another engine: listed financial capital. In the United States, ETFs linked to physical gold have absorbed more than 37,000 million dollars in net inflows through September, a figure not seen since the last major bull cycle. The entry of these volumes shows a return of “smart money” toward tangible, resilient assets that are independent of monetary policy.

This context, combined with solid fundamentals, has led multiple international analysts to revise their forecasts upward. According to  Mining, the price of gold could stand between 4,400 and 5,300 dollars per ounce in the coming year, a scenario that would place the metal in territory it has never reached.

But one of the most discussed predictions is Goldman Sachs’s, which anticipates an additional 6% increase through mid-2026. The determining factor, according to the institution, will not be jewelry demand or speculative funds, but the structural accumulation by central banks, a slow, steady, and extraordinarily powerful market force.

The key factors that explain this rise are mainly:

• Weakening of the dollar: the loss of confidence in the dollar’s role as the hegemonic currency pushes entire economies to strengthen tangible alternatives such as gold. 
• Expectations of rate cuts in the U.S.: lower rates reduce bond yields and make gold —which does not generate cash flows but preserves value— more attractive.
• Geopolitical and trade tensions: global fragmentation creates an environment in which risk assets suffer and safe havens thrive. 
• Accumulation of reserves outside the West: emerging countries seek to shield themselves against sanctions, devaluations, and financial instability. 
  

Taken together, these elements do not describe a simple cyclical rebound. They point to a reconfiguration of the monetary order, where gold once again acts as a natural counterweight to fiat currencies and to an increasingly fragile financial system.

Where are markets looking in 2026?

If it is confirmed that gold can reach 4,400–5,300 dollars per ounce, we are facing a profound mutation of the market: gold would cease to be an “alternative asset” and become, de facto, an essential asset for preserving value. And this idea, which until recently seemed exaggerated, is today a serious hypothesis in many research offices.

The levers sustaining this possible new stage are clear. On the one hand, institutional and central-bank demand maintains a solid pace, driven by the need to diversify reserves and reduce monetary dependencies. In addition, the macro environment continues to play in the metal’s favor: if inflation persists or central banks choose to keep interest rates high, gold strengthens its role as a natural hedge against the loss of purchasing power.

Geopolitics adds even more pressure, because any shock between China and the U.S., a new episode in the Near East, or tensions in supply chains can immediately reactivate flows into safe-haven assets. And if, in parallel, bonds offer meager returns and stock markets enter phases of volatility, the metal shines again as a stable alternative amid the noise.

Even so, the path is not free of risks. An unexpected tightening of interest rates or a rebound in the dollar could slow the rise. There is also the phenomenon known as gold fatigue: when everyone takes for granted that it will keep rising, the market can lose momentum. And finally, it cannot be ruled out that other emerging assets, such as certain cryptocurrencies or industrial metals such as silver, capture part of investor attention.

Despite these nuances, the consensus is clear: if 2026 confirms the current trajectory, we will not be talking simply about a rebound, but about a change of era in gold’s role within the global financial system.

Impact for savers, investors, and the Fintech ecosystem

In an environment of persistent uncertainty, gold once again acts as a protective cushion for the saver: it does not replace a complete portfolio, but a moderate exposure can help soften monetary or stock-market shocks. At the same time, the Fintech revolution has democratized access to the metal: today it can be invested in through physical purchase, ETFs, digital platforms, fractional investment, or tokenization systems that were previously unthinkable.

For the end customer, the rule remains the same as always: balance and diversification. Neither concentrating everything in gold, nor ignoring an asset that has shown resilience when other markets weaken. And it should be kept in mind that, in many European countries, investment gold enjoys a specific tax treatment, an element that can influence the real return of any strategy.

If 2025 has been the year of the breakout, 2026 could be the year of consolidation. But nothing is automatic: gold’s trajectory will depend on inflation, the dollar, geopolitics, and central bank decisions. Gold is not a magic wand, but it is a key piece within a broader financial puzzle that the 11Onze community must observe with a critical and informed outlook.

If you want to discover the best option to protect your savings, enter Preciosos 11Onze. We will help you buy at the best price the safe-haven asset par excellence: physical gold.

Year-on-year inflation in Spain in 2022 was 8.4%. Preciosos 11Onze gold has appreciated by 9.5%. In February 2022 we launched Preciosos 11Onze, offering members of our community to buy gold to protect themselves against inflation. Almost a year later, the gold price confirms the forecast.

It is no secret that an analysis of the historical evolution of the value of gold shows that, despite some occasional downward fluctuations, it is a real safe-haven asset that protects our savings, especially in times of economic crisis. This was obvious during the three-year period of the sanitary crisis, when gold prices increased by 40%.

After the return to ‘normality’, 2022 was seen as the year to consolidate the economic recovery. Even so, geopolitical uncertainty and the energy crisis, together with high inflation and currency tension due to the loss of value of the euro against the dollar, caused many families to lose much of their purchasing power.

A safe haven in the face of uncertainty

In this context, buying gold was not an investment or an instrument of speculation, but one of the few options people had to safeguard their money. That is why we launched Preciosos 11Onze, as a tool for our community to protect their savings in an extremely turbulent context.

The strength of the dollar and uncertainty about the possible rise in interest rates contributed to the fluctuation in the price of gold during 2021, but by early 2022 a new upward trend was confirmed. So, since then, has it maintained its reputation as a safe-haven asset? Without a shadow of a doubt, yes. When we launched Preciosos 11Onze, an ounce of gold was trading at €1.599, and today it is priced at €1.749, a rise in value of almost 9.5%.

This means that in the face of the depreciation of the euro due to inflation and competition from the dollar, having your money in gold would not only have prevented the loss of its value, but would have increased it considerably. Of course, it should be borne in mind that historical returns are not indicative of future returns and that any purchase of precious metals carries some risk, but as we have seen, leaving your money in the bank can be much worse.

If you want to discover the best option to protect your savings, enter Preciosos 11Onze. We will help you buy at the best price the safe-haven asset par excellence: physical gold.

Starting a new year is like starting a notebook. This 2022 has to be, by force, a year of plenty, because the previous two years have been pandemic and have been a real lesson for us, as well as helping us to prioritise our lives. As well as helping us to prioritise our lives, they have certainly helped us to learn how to save, and now it’s time to put all these lessons into practice!

To start the year off on the right foot, agent Silvia Granado gives us 11 tips for saving for 365 days. So that you have enough money left over to go on that weekend getaway you’ve been thinking about for a long time, or to shop during the sales, or to pay for that language course you know you need.

Let’s start with the basics: buy what you really need, organise a box with 12 envelopes for the 12 months of the year where you can hide some notes that will add up to a good amount at the end of the year, save the extra payments right away in the savings account, make a budget for holidays and divide the amount by 12 months to know how much you have to save each month, reduce lunches and dinners out and review subscriptions to content platforms. Want to know more tips? Check out the other half in the video below!

11Onze is becoming a phenomenon as the first Fintech community in Catalonia. Now, it releases the first version of El Canut, the super app of 11Onze, for Android and Apple. El Canut, the first universal account can be opened in Catalan territory.

We close a year in which the general rise in prices has made it difficult for many families to make ends meet. How will the economy evolve in 2023? What can we do to adjust the family budget? We talk about it with Xavi Viñolas, Editor of 11Onze and Gemma Vallet, Director of 11Onze District, in a new episode of La Plaça, Territori 17’s radio show.

With a year-on-year inflation rate of 8.4%, 2022 has been disastrous for many families who have seen their purchasing power fall to unsustainable levels. Runaway price rises have pushed up the cost of living at a time when many households were just recovering from the shock of the pandemic. What lies ahead for 2023?

This year, we will see whether central banks can halt the rise in prices without neutering the recovery of economies. Financial analysts predict that inflation will fall to 5%, but as Viñolas points out, “in a context of uncertainty and high economic volatility, we have to take any economic forecast with a grain of salt, the same experts told us that current inflation would only last a few months”.

Proactivity in reducing expenses

Now, more than ever, it is necessary to have a piggy bank for possible unforeseen events. But, faced with an economic context that does not favour saving and where our money has lost a good part of its value, it is not easy to reduce our monthly expenses in order to save.

The editor of 11Onze suggests we be proactive and look at reducing some fixed expenses, which are not always difficult to cut. Services contracted on a permanent basis, such as home or car insurance, can be renegotiated, or we can simply switch to a provider that offers a policy without permanence and more suited to our needs, which can be much cheaper.

Likewise, suppliers of utilities, such as electricity, can give us some room for manoeuvre, changing the contracted power or switching from the free market to the regulated market. Modifying the contract or looking for more reasonable offers can mean considerable savings and help us to balance the budget at the end of the month.

If you want to discover fair insurance for your home and for society, check 11Onze Segurs.