{"id":24214,"date":"2022-01-10T21:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-01-10T20:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/?p=24214"},"modified":"2022-01-18T10:54:28","modified_gmt":"2022-01-18T09:54:28","slug":"burbuja-carbono-caer-bancos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/es\/magazine\/burbuja-carbono-caer-bancos\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfLa burbuja del carbono har\u00e1 caer los bancos?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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El cambio clim\u00e1tico viene acompa\u00f1ado de una subida de impuestos y de los derechos de emisi\u00f3n que pagan los grandes consumidores energ\u00e9ticos para emitir cada tonelada de di\u00f3xido de carbono. Un fen\u00f3meno que pone en evidencia el peligro que supone para la banca tradicional tener millones de euros invertidos en activos de hidrocarburos, que corren el riesgo de convertirse en activos varados, frente a pol\u00edticas que fomentan una econom\u00eda verde.<\/b><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n

La \u2018burbuja del carbono\u2019 es una burbuja coyuntural basada en la valoraci\u00f3n de las empresas que dependen en gran medida de combustibles f\u00f3siles como factores de producci\u00f3n, pero que<\/span> tambi\u00e9n afecta las instituciones financieras que tienen inversiones masivas en activos f\u00f3siles<\/b>, es decir, que usan estos activos como herramientas financieras para pr\u00e9stamos e inversiones vinculadas al sector de los hidrocarburos, principalmente petr\u00f3leo y gas natural.<\/span><\/p>\n

El concepto no es nuevo: el 2011 Michael Le Page ya hablaba en un art\u00edculo publicado en el \u2018<\/span>Newscientist<\/span><\/a>\u2019, donde el emprendedor y escritor brit\u00e1nico <\/span>Jeremy Leggett<\/span><\/a> afirmaba que \u201c<\/span>hay un r\u00edo suicida de capital que fluye hacia los combustibles f\u00f3siles<\/b>\u201d. Una hipot\u00e9tica burbuja que afectar\u00eda la estabilidad financiera de la banca tradicional, a causa de la sobrevaloraci\u00f3n de los activos basados en combustibles f\u00f3siles ante un incremento de iniciativas gubernamentales para pasar a una tecnolog\u00eda m\u00e1s limpia en un futuro pr\u00f3ximo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aun as\u00ed, el t\u00e9rmino est\u00e1 ganando relevancia porque la tendencia no afloja, y como pas\u00f3 con la crisis de las hipotecas \u2018subprime\u2019 del 2008, parece que <\/span>la banca contin\u00faa jugando a la ruleta rusa, facilitada por una carencia de regulaci\u00f3n, y quiz\u00e1s por la confianza en que la privatizaci\u00f3n de las ganancias y socializaci\u00f3n de las p\u00e9rdidas es un \u2018fait accompli\u2019<\/b>, en caso de quiebra, atendido el rescate bancario a cargo del contribuyente que acostumbra a acompa\u00f1ar los excesos del mundo financiero.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

El BCE no lo ve claro y mueve ficha<\/b><\/h3>\n

En junio del 2021 se publicaba un <\/span>informe<\/span><\/a>, a cargo de investigadores y estudiantes del Instituto Rousseau, del Instituto L\u00e9onard de Vinci, del Reclaim Finance, de Friends of the Earth y de un conjunto de organizaciones de la sociedad civil, que daba a conocer el volumen de inversiones que los principales bancos europeos tienen en activos de combustibles f\u00f3siles. Concretamente, el informe afirmaba que esta <\/span>banca tradicional ha acumulado 532.000 millones de euros en activos vinculados al carb\u00f3n, al petr\u00f3leo y al gas, un 95% de su capital total<\/b>.<\/span><\/p>\n

El peligro que esto representa para estos bancos tradicionales a la hora de soportar una repentina bajada de valor de estos activos es evidente, y as\u00ed lo entendi\u00f3 <\/span>el Banco Central Europeo (BCE), que anunci\u00f3 unos <\/b>tests de supervisi\u00f3n bancaria<\/b><\/a> durante el 2022, para asegurarse que las entidades financieras puedan soportar las crisis financieras y econ\u00f3micas.<\/span><\/p>\n

Concretamente, el BCE lo hizo para evaluar la sostenibilidad de los modelos de negocio de las entidades financieras, contabilizando sus ingresos procedentes de exposiciones relevantes para el clima, como los pr\u00e9stamos a industrias que emiten grandes vol\u00famenes de gases de efecto invernadero; y <\/span>para calcular el grado de exposici\u00f3n de la banca tradicional a las industrias intensivas en carbono<\/b>.<\/span><\/p>\n

El BCE ha previsto penalizaciones para las entidades financieras que no diversifiquen su modelo de negocio<\/b> y lo adapten a las pol\u00edticas medioambientales promovidas por la Uni\u00f3n Europea, pero quiz\u00e1s tambi\u00e9n habr\u00eda que cambiar la pol\u00edtica monetaria y ser igualmente asertivos a la hora de avisar a la banca que ante otra quiebra de sus inversiones de riesgo, ser\u00e1n las entidades financieras, y no los contribuyentes, las que pagar\u00e1n los platos rotos.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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