{"id":23690,"date":"2021-12-28T21:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-12-28T20:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/?p=23690"},"modified":"2021-12-23T16:29:46","modified_gmt":"2021-12-23T15:29:46","slug":"como-afectara-omicron-economia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/es\/magazine\/como-afectara-omicron-economia\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfC\u00f3mo afectar\u00e1 la \u00f3micron a la econom\u00eda?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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La fuerte recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica post-Covid sigue avanzando, pero la presencia de la nueva variante \u00f3micron del coronavirus y su r\u00e1pida expansi\u00f3n podr\u00eda tener un impacto significativo en la desaceleraci\u00f3n del crecimiento econ\u00f3mico global. Hagamos un repaso a las previsiones de los expertos.<\/strong><\/h3>\n

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Si bien es cierto que las medidas impuestas por los Estados eran necesarias para contener la pandemia, <\/span>las restricciones paralizaron la econom\u00eda global con una ca\u00edda hist\u00f3rica del PIB mundial<\/b>. El avance en las vacunaciones, especialmente en los pa\u00edses m\u00e1s desarrollados, y las pol\u00edticas fiscales expansivas aplicadas por gobiernos y bancos centrales han sentado las bases de una recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica que empez\u00f3 a finales del 2020 y que parec\u00eda imparable hasta la entrada en juego de esta nueva variante del coronavirus.<\/span><\/p>\n

Todav\u00eda es demasiado pronto para saber con certeza el impacto final del rebrote de una pandemia que parec\u00eda controlada, no obstante, <\/span>el <\/b>Banco de Espa\u00f1a <\/b><\/a>ha confirmado que la recuperaci\u00f3n se deshincha y se prev\u00e9, que este a\u00f1o, la econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola crecer\u00e1 un 4,5% <\/b>(un punto y medio menos del 6% que se preve\u00eda en septiembre). La incertidumbre tambi\u00e9n rebaja medio punto, hasta el 5,4%, la previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento para el a\u00f1o pr\u00f3ximo y pone en entredicho el optimismo para el 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n

Los pron\u00f3sticos de los <\/span>informes <\/span><\/a>del <\/span>Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) coinciden a la hora de prever una desaceleraci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica<\/b> global causada por la \u00f3micron. Tambi\u00e9n ha revisado, a la baja, sus previsiones de crecimiento, atendidos los problemas continuados de log\u00edstica en la cadena de suministros y la vacunaci\u00f3n desigual entre pa\u00edses.<\/span><\/p>\n

Optimismo moderado<\/b><\/h3>\n

Aun as\u00ed, la Organizaci\u00f3n de Pa\u00edses Exportadores de Petr\u00f3leo (OPEP) <\/span>afirma<\/span><\/a> en su informe mensual: \u201cSe espera que el impacto de la nueva variante \u00f3micron sea leve y de corta duraci\u00f3n, a medida que el mundo se equipa mejor para gestionar la Covid-19 y sus desaf\u00edos relacionados\u201d. Aun as\u00ed, prev\u00e9 un crecimiento continuado en la demanda de petr\u00f3leo para el 2022 con una producci\u00f3n de 4,2 millones de barriles por d\u00eda.<\/span><\/p>\n

Las declaraciones alentadoras de la OPEP coinciden con los <\/span>estudios <\/span><\/a>que se han publicado en cuanto a la eficacia de las vacunas existentes para combatir esta nueva variante del coronavirus y que se han visto reflejadas en los \u00edndices burs\u00e1tiles de todo el mundo. <\/span>Grupos de banca de inversi\u00f3n como Goldman Sachs no han alterado significativamente las proyecciones de crecimiento<\/b>, pero no descartan escenarios m\u00e1s negativos dependiendo de si la velocidad de transmisi\u00f3n y hospitalizaciones de la \u00f3micron empeora las cifras registradas con la variante delta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aunque la mayor\u00eda de la poblaci\u00f3n mundial ya est\u00e1 vacunada contra la Covid-19,<\/span> la oleada de la \u00f3micron est\u00e1 volviendo a agrietar las econom\u00edas de muchos pa\u00edses<\/b> que apenas se empezaban a recuperar. Los gobiernos se ven presionados, una vez m\u00e1s, para encontrar un equilibrio que permita proteger la econom\u00eda, los puestos de trabajo y las empresas, sin en al mismo tiempo poner en riesgo a las personas.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

11Onze s’est\u00e0 convertint en un fenomen com a primera comunitat fintech de Catalunya. Ara, llan\u00e7a la primera versi\u00f3 d’El Canut, la super app d’11Onze, per a <\/b>Android<\/b><\/a> i <\/b>Apple<\/b><\/a>. Des d’El Canut es pot obrir el primer compte universal al territori catal\u00e0.<\/b><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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