{"id":53913,"date":"2025-08-20T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/?p=53913"},"modified":"2025-08-20T10:35:29","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T08:35:29","slug":"protecting-yourself-uncertainty-ancient-practice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/en\/magazine\/protecting-yourself-uncertainty-ancient-practice\/","title":{"rendered":"Protecting yourself from uncertainty, an ancient practice"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"component text\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n\n\n    <div class=\"row\">\n      <div class=\"col  col-lg-8  offset-lg-2\">\n        <h3><b>In an increasingly volatile and inflationary economic context, futures trading is once again gaining prominence. Although it seems like a modern and complex instrument, futures trading is a commercial mechanism with thousands of years of history. Civilisations such as the Egyptians and Romans already agreed on prices for goods before the harvest, thus protecting themselves from future fluctuations.<\/b><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Today, this system remains fully in force and sophisticated, <\/span><b>especially in organised futures markets such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) or Euronext<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. In these markets, all kinds of assets can be traded: <\/span><b>agricultural commodities<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (such as wheat, coffee, sugar, or cotton), <\/span><b>precious metals<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (such as gold, silver, or copper), <\/span><b>energy sources <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(such as oil, natural gas or electricity), <\/span><b>international currencies<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (dollar, euro, yen) as well as <\/span><b>stock indices<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><b>other derivative financial products<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The variety of tradable assets and their standardisation make these markets an essential tool for companies, institutional investors and governments seeking <\/span><b>to hedge against price risks, diversify portfolios or secure the supply of strategic resources<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>But what exactly is a forward purchase?<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A forward purchase<\/span><b> is a contract between two parties who agree, in the present, on the price of a product or asset that will be delivered or settled at a future date<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Unlike an immediate purchase, physical delivery or payment is not made at the time of signing, but later, according to the agreed schedule.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These types of transactions are carried out in regulated markets, with <\/span><b>standardised rules that guarantee legal and financial security for both parties<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. To protect the agreement, both parties must deposit an initial guarantee (called a \u201cmargin\u201d) that serves as a commitment to execute the transaction.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Long positions and short positions<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In financial jargon, <\/span><b>the terms long position and short position are fundamental to understanding how futures trading works<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Taking a<\/span><b> long position means committing to buy an asset on a specific future date<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">; conversely, having <\/span><b>a short position means committing to sell that asset at that time<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. These positions do not necessarily involve physical possession of the product\u2014in fact, the contract is often settled before the expiry date through financial compensation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This mechanism allows <\/span><b>both producers<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2014 who want to secure the sale price \u2014 a<\/span><b>nd industrial buyers or distributors<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2014 who want to guarantee a stable purchase price \u2014 <\/span><b>to protect themselves against market uncertainty<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>futures contract must include all the essential<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> information to be enforceable:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>asset or product being traded<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (e.g., 1,000 barrels of crude oil).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>specific quantity<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>agreed price<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (set at the time of signing).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The expiry or <\/span><b>execution date<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>form of settlement<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (this may be by physical delivery or by price difference).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><b>place and conditions of delivery<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, in the event of physical exchange of goods.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This system <\/span><b>allows conditions to be set well in advance<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which is particularly valuable in sectors where prices can change radically in a matter of days.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>The advantages of forward purchases<\/b><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li aria-level=\"1\"><b>Stability in times of inflation. <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In times of inflation or scarcity, forward purchases are a tool for protecting against price volatility. Agricultural companies, manufacturers, distributors, and even investors can secure today the price of a product they will need tomorrow.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li aria-level=\"1\"><b>More reliable planning.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Being able to anticipate costs or revenues facilitates financial and logistical planning, reducing the risk of unforeseen events that can affect an entire supply chain.<\/span><\/li>\n<li aria-level=\"1\"><b>Agile access and moderate cost. <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The daily operation of futures markets ensures high liquidity and a certain ease of trading or unwinding positions. In addition, the initial entry cost (the margin) is usually relatively low compared to the total value of the contract, allowing large volumes to be traded with less capital.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><b>But they also carry risks<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite the obvious benefits, <\/span><b>forward purchases are not a magic formula and carry significant risks<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that must be carefully considered before making any move:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Market risk: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the actual price of the asset on the expiry date is lower than the agreed price, the buyer will have to pay more than the current value, incurring a loss. Conversely, if the price rises, and you are the seller, you may be forced to sell below the market price. This can directly impact the profitability of the transaction and, in serious cases, destabilise a company&#8217;s budget.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Binding contractual commitment:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Futures contracts cannot be broken without consequences. Once formalised, they are binding, and failure to comply with them can result in significant financial penalties or loss of the deposit. It is therefore essential to carefully assess your ability to comply with the agreed conditions before signing anything.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Technical complexity: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Futures markets are highly specialised environments. Understanding how settlement, leverage, collateral and daily adjustments work requires solid prior training. Trading without knowledge can easily lead to wrong or hasty decisions, especially if they are confused with short-term speculative trades.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Volatility and leverage:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> In some cases, futures are used with leverage, i.e. trading with borrowed money or with a small guarantee for a large volume, which can amplify both gains and losses. A small variation in price can have a very large impact on the final result of the trade.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><b>A simple example<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Imagine a coffee roasting company <\/span><b>that needs large quantities of beans every month<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. If it fears a price increase due to climatic phenomena or geopolitical instability, it can choose to buy coffee futures. It agrees on the price now, secures the stock, and avoids unpleasant surprises in three months&#8217; time.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This same <\/span><b>system is used worldwide with wheat<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, oil, sugar, gas, gold and even electricity.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>A strategy, not a gamble<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Forward <\/span><b>purchases are much more than a financial tool<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: they are a risk management strategy with great potential to protect the economic stability of a company or sector. In skilled hands, <\/span><b>they make it possible to anticipate adverse scenarios, protect profit margins, secure supply <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">and reduce dependence on market fluctuations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When prices fluctuate sharply \u2014due to causes such as inflation, geopolitical tensions, logistical disruptions or droughts\u2014 <\/span><b>this type of operation can mean the difference between surviving or losing control of costs<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. That is why many large companies use futures as a regular feature of their financial forecasting plans.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, it <\/span><b>should be remembered that they are not a gamble or a speculative game for those who do not master the field<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. They are a complex strategy that requires knowledge, rigour and discipline. And like any good strategy, they should not be applied blindly. It is necessary to understand them, assess their scope and adapt them to the real needs of each business or operation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After all, futures markets offer no absolute guarantees, but they do offer something very valuable: <\/span><b>the ability to anticipate, manage and mitigate risk<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in an increasingly unpredictable world.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>If you want to discover the best option to protect your savings, enter <\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/serveis.11onze.cat\/en\/preciosos-11onze\"><b>Preciosos 11Onze<\/b><\/a><b>. 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