{"id":52589,"date":"2025-07-07T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-07T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/?p=52589"},"modified":"2025-07-09T09:00:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-09T07:00:10","slug":"gold-better-return-than-you-thought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/en\/magazine\/gold-better-return-than-you-thought\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold: a better return than you thought"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"component text\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n\n\n    <div class=\"row\">\n      <div class=\"col  col-lg-8  offset-lg-2\">\n        <h3><b>El paper de l\u2019or com a actiu indispensable per diversificar i reduir el risc d\u2019una cartera d\u2019inversions enfront de la incertesa econ\u00f2mica est\u00e0 m\u00e9s que demostrat. Tanmateix, segons una an\u00e0lisi feta pel Consell Mundial de l&#8217;Or, la seva capacitat de proporcionar rendibilitat a llarg termini \u00e9s m\u00e9s elevada del que generalment se sol assumir.<\/b><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Encara que generalment es percep com una opci\u00f3 conservadora per reduir el risc de les nostres inversions i que la seva funci\u00f3 principal \u00e9s la de dip\u00f2sit de valor, un <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/research\/golds-long-term-expected-return\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">informe<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> elaborat pel Consell Mundial de l\u2019Or (WGC) conclou que<\/span><b> les an\u00e0lisis tradicionals dels rendiments de l&#8217;or deixen de banda alguns factors importants<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> que revelen una rendibilitat a llarg termini millor del que se sol pensar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Segons el WGC, existeixen marcs per a estimar la rendibilitat de l&#8217;or a llarg termini, per\u00f2<\/span><b> manquen d&#8217;un enfocament s\u00f2lid que s&#8217;ajusti a les hip\u00f2tesis del mercat de capitals<\/b> <b>per a altres classes d&#8217;actius<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Aquestes estimacions estan estretament correlacionades amb el nivell general de preus mesurat per l&#8217;\u00edndex de preus de consum (IPC). D&#8217;acord amb aquesta premissa, la rendibilitat esperada de l&#8217;or a llarg termini sol oscil\u00b7lar entre el 0% i l&#8217;1%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">No obstant aix\u00f2, l&#8217;an\u00e0lisi feta per l\u2019organisme conclou que, si b\u00e9 els estudis existents s\u00f3n rics en informaci\u00f3, amb freq\u00fc\u00e8ncia es basen en dues pautes que, en la seva opini\u00f3, \u201c<\/span><b>caracteritzen err\u00f2niament a l&#8217;or i han portat a conclusions esbiaixades<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201d.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><b>El Patr\u00f3 Or i la inversi\u00f3 financera<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Per comen\u00e7ar, gaireb\u00e9 tots els models utilitzen dades de per\u00edodes amb patr\u00f3 or. Tot i que el Consell Mundial de l&#8217;Or accepta que per norma general \u00e9s millor tenir tantes dades hist\u00f2riques com sigui possible, en analitzar els preus de l&#8217;or, la cronologia m\u00e9s llarga <\/span><b>esbiaixa les dades perqu\u00e8 durant la major part del segle XX el preu de l&#8217;or el fixaven els bancs centrals<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cEncara que el seu rendiment hist\u00f2ric durant els per\u00edodes del Patr\u00f3 Or \u00e9s una refer\u00e8ncia interessant, <\/span><b>el m\u00e9s important \u00e9s la seva estructura de mercat i el seu comportament despr\u00e9s de 1971<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201d. Per tant, a fi d\u2019evitar aquest biaix, l\u2019organisme utilitza dades a partir del 1971 per fer la seva an\u00e0lisi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">L\u2019altre factor que pot provocar que l&#8217;an\u00e0lisi del comportament a llarg termini de l&#8217;or sigui poc fiable \u00e9s que els models solen assumir que la inversi\u00f3 financera impulsa gaireb\u00e9 exclusivament la demanda, ignorant altres factors importants d&#8217;aquesta. Segons l\u2019estudi,<\/span><b> la inversi\u00f3 financera representa un percentatge relativament petit de la demanda en relaci\u00f3 amb les reserves d&#8217;or existents<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, mentre que altres fonts s\u00f3n m\u00e9s importants a llarg termini.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">En conclusi\u00f3, fent servir aquest model revisat que proposa el Consell Mundial de l&#8217;Or,<\/span><b> la rendibilitat de l&#8217;or ha estat molt millor en els \u00faltims cinquanta anys del que suggereixen les an\u00e0lisis convencionals<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, amb una mitjana anual del 8%. El mateix model preveu una rendibilitat mitjana anual del 5,2% durant els pr\u00f2xims quinze anys.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Si vols descobrir la millor opci\u00f3 per protegir els teus estalvis, entra a <\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/serveis.11onze.cat\/preciosos-11onze\"><b>Preciosos 11Onze<\/b><\/a><b>. T\u2019ajudarem a comprar al millor preu el valor refugi per excel\u00b7l\u00e8ncia: l\u2019or f\u00edsic.<\/b><\/p>\n\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"component cards\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n      <div class=\"col col-xl-8 offset-xl-2\">\n        <h1>Si t&#8217;ha agradat aquesta not\u00edcia, et recomanem:<\/h1>\n        <div class=\"cards__wrapper\">\n          <div class=\"card\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/magazine\/or-fisic-continua-pujant-preu\/\" class=\"card-link\" target=\"_self\"><\/a>\n            <div class=\"card-img\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/11ONZE_PRECIOSOS_11ONZE_SPOT-1-768x432.jpg\" class=\"card-img-top\" alt=\"\">\n                <span class=\"card-category\">Invest<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"card-body\">\n              <p class=\"card-title p2\"><strong>Per qu\u00e8 l\u2019or f\u00edsic continua pujant de preu?<\/strong><\/p>\n              <span class=\"card-time\">3 min read<\/span>\n              <p class=\"card-text small\">Segons el Consell Mundial de l\u2019Or (WGC), l\u2019or ha batut 8&#8230;<\/p>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n\n          <div class=\"card\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/magazine\/preu-or-mante-maxims-historics\/\" class=\"card-link\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a>\n            <div class=\"card-img\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/THUMBNAIL_Preu_Or_Maxims_historics-768x512.jpg\" class=\"card-img-top\" alt=\"\">\n                <span class=\"card-category\">Invest<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"card-body\">\n              <p class=\"card-title p2\"><strong>El preu de l\u2019or es mant\u00e9 en m\u00e0xims hist\u00f2rics<\/strong><\/p>\n              <span class=\"card-time\">3 min read<\/span>\n              <p class=\"card-text small\">Impulsat per l\u2019inici de les retallades de tipus d\u2019inter\u00e8s&#8230;<\/p>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n\n          <div class=\"card\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/magazine\/xina-crisi-immobiliaria-febre-or\/\" class=\"card-link\" target=\"_self\"><\/a>\n            <div class=\"card-img\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/THUMBNAIL_Sector_Immobiliari_Xines-768x512.jpg\" class=\"card-img-top\" alt=\"\">\n                <span class=\"card-category\">Invest<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"card-body\">\n              <p class=\"card-title p2\"><strong>Xina: de la crisi immobili\u00e0ria, a la febre de l\u2019or<\/strong><\/p>\n              <span class=\"card-time\">3 min read<\/span>\n              <p class=\"card-text small\">Tot i la pujada de preus fins a m\u00e0xims hist\u00f2rics, els&#8230;<\/p>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n              <\/div>\n              <br>\n              <br>\n              <div class=\"cards__wrapper\">\n\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":71,"featured_media":52578,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[15],"class_list":["post-52589","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-invest"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold: a better return than you thought -11Onze<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"An analysis by the World Gold Council shows that the long-term profitability of gold is higher than generally thought.\" 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