{"id":43745,"date":"2024-03-06T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-06T08:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/?p=43745"},"modified":"2024-03-06T09:01:54","modified_gmt":"2024-03-06T08:01:54","slug":"black-swan-negre-territori-17","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.11onze.cat\/en\/magazine\/black-swan-negre-territori-17\/","title":{"rendered":"Territori 17: the black swan theory"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The recent events that have shaken the banking sector may have a far-reaching impact on the economy and our lives. Can these crises be foreseen and avoided? In this episode of La Pla\u00e7a, Xavi Vi\u00f1olas, editor of 11Onze, analyses retrospective economic predictability through the black swan theory.<\/b><\/h3>\n

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Is the current economic model reliable? One might think that <\/span>we go from crisis to crisis in a cyclical concatenation of inevitable catastrophic events in the financial markets<\/b>. But are these economic cataclysms unpredictable, and can the economic analysis be improved to predict the future?<\/span><\/p>\n

In economics, the black swan theory is a metaphor that refers to <\/span>highly improbable events that occur by surprise and have a large negative impact on economies<\/b>. They are characterised by retrospective predictability, i.e. some factors explain why they occurred and how they could have been avoided.<\/span><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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